Obviously, Duckworth stunk up the joint and shouldn’t start any more.
No argument there.
We need a 5th starter.
No argument there.
We don’t really have a long man already on the ML roster – Chad Qualls used to be a starter, but he doesn’t throw more than 2 innings at a time and hasn’t for over a year, so…
we HAVE to bring someone up from the minors. The question is, who?
The 5 current starters are Wandy Rodriguez, Jared Gothreaux, Ezequiel Astacio, Taylor Buchholz and Carlos Hernandez.
Hernandez has never come back from shoulder surgery. I doubt he ever will.
Travis Driskill had SOME success with Baltimore starting over the past few years, but was just signed a few weeks ago and needs more work..
Dave Burba hasn’t started in the bigs in 2 years.
Buchholz had shoulder surgery this offseason and, um, isn’t sharp.
This leaves Rodriguez, Gothreaux and Astacio.
I know that the organization wanted to promote Astacio, not Gothreaux or Rodriguez.
I keep hearing that he strikes out a lot of people and had good spring training stats.
Good spring training stats – SO???????????
– Roger Clemens had a, what, 9.0 ERA?
– Brad Ausmus had a 400 something BA?
Facing a lot of minor leaguers and guys who aren’t sharp yet???
Sorry, but as far as I’m concerned, spring training stats ain’t worth a bucket of warm spit.
STILL not convinced? OK, then how bout this – Brandon F Duckworth made the team as the 5th guy because of spring training stats. NEED I SAY MORE???????
It’s true that Astacio has more minor league “experience” but remember that he spent the first 3 years in the Dominican League)
All 3 guys spent only 1 year at high A and 1 yeat at AA before being promoted.
All 3 guys, for the FIRST time, are facing AAA hitters.
It is NOT obvious to me that Astacio stands out more than the other two – in fact, looking at THIS year, it seems to me that Astacio is the worst choice of the three – if he doesn’t get Ks, he’s in trouble… High Ks don’t necessarily get you a lot of W/year (look at Nolan Ryan) because you have to be able to pitch well from the stretch, too…
Me, I think that Jared Gothreaux is the best choice of the three – look carefully – fewer BB/ 9 IP, same ERA as Astacio WITH more H/9 IP, which means that he is better able to get outs with MOB.
BTW – we also have 2 (so far) good looking starters at AA Corpus Christi in Fernando Nieve RHP (age 23 season – FA from Venezuela 1999) and Jason Hirsh RHP (23 yo – 2nd round of 03 draft) – in fact, Nieve just made Baseball America’s top 10 hot prospect list at #6 – they say:
“6. Fernando Nieve, rhp, Astros (Double-A Corpus Christi)
Nieve has pitched 24 innings in four starts, and he’s yet to allow more than three hits in a game. Once he gets going, look out–opposing batters are 0-for-36 against the 22-year-old Venezuelan after the third inning.”
One last thing – can anyone reading this email me if yall have a link to ANY site that will give me better stats for this year for the minor league pitchers than what’s there on the official team website? (it has to be free…..) Thanks.
UPDATE: 3 PM – one MORE last thing – Tim Redding, who explained to the media something along the lines of – if I ain’t startin, I’m departin – got hisself a spot in the San Diego rotation – supposed to be a pitchers’ park, and here’s what’s happened so far (according to Lee Sinins’ Around the Majors)
“Padres P Tim Redding took a pounding–3 1/3 IP, 6 H, 6 R, 5 ER, 3 BB, 0 SO. After 3.68 ERA/15 RSAA and 5.72 ERA/-15 RSAA seasons, Redding is off to a 7.94 ERA/-8 RSAA start in his first 4 starts (5 games). He has a 4.88 career ERA, compared to his league average of 4.27, and -23 RSAA in 96 games.”
Well, it ain’t like we shoulda kept him instead of the Duck.
I REALLY wonder why we never went after Woody Williams, homeboy, who WANTED to come here and pitch…